Is this the beginning of a run?
The LSU Tigers face a surprisingly feisty and high scoring South Alabama squad this time out.
The Tigers will look to better last week’s win vs. UCLA and maybe make it run of wins after the debacle in Las Vegas.
From third down efficacy, player props, team defense/offense numbers and more, we will have a little bit of everything as we roll on this season.
Last season we ended with a positive record (2022: 19-17, 2023: 19-17) and we will look to do so once more. We were TWO seconds and a few yards away from a 3-0, alas, we move on to this week. (4-8 in 2024)
Today, we take a look at predicting three specific areas for the team. Remember these are bold predictions. (All stats via CFBSTATS)
1 Garrett Nussmeier OVER 300.5 Passing Yards
While the prop has hit every week, but one, it might be here where we see the easiest hit as this opposing team cannot defend. They can score, but LSU and the Nuss Buss need to push them to keep them in check here. As such, a big game here vs. an opponent you should beat, the yards need to flow and needs to happen.
A fun match up with hopefully, high powered offenses going at it. Sign up for PrizePicks with an exclusive code: PR-FLCK5IA
2 Game Total OVER 31.5 First Half (-130, via DKSB)
Listen, never let me bet an under again, it’s just suffering for suffering sake’s. This time with an injured LSU defense, a high flying South Alabama offense, and LSU’s high powered offense, this has just the recipe for an over and to not risk it, let’s do the half as we see it more in range than the whole game. With 135 and 70 points scored respectively by these schools in just the last two games, we should see an explosion of offense in Baton Rouge this Saturday.
With that said, I’m hoping we get points in bunches. Make this an easy win!
3 LSU Offense Greater Than 50% 3rd Down Conversion Rate
Another exotic pick here after receiver yardage props and a tight end any time TD failed us already, let’s hit the percentages. This one combines opportunities and usage as we could only see the Tigers in third and x, but so many times in what should be a potentially high powered affair. LSU’s offense is currently hovering around this mark and should be more than here given the opposition.
This should be a very attainable target because of that and is why we will take it.
Final score prediction: LSU 52-31 South Alabama
That will do it for this week’s very specific predictions. Let us know what you think and give us some of your own!